Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Spartak Nalchik		Zarya

	1	X	2
	1.34	5.15	6.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (2.14)	5.15 ↑ (3.13)	6.21 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Nalchik
67.8%

Draw
17.6%

Zarya
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Nalchik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Nalchik's performance.

Zarya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zarya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Nalchik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zarya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak Nalchik - Zarya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Lysenko S. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Chachirov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 3 - 0, Ibragimov M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 13).

Spartak N is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Zarya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Spartak N is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Spartak Nalchik	24	9	7	8	35:28	7	34
10	Lugansk	24	8	6	10	34:33	1	30

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Nalchik - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Nalchik
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
13.06.26	Rostov 2 - Spartak Nalchik	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Spartak Nalchik - Kyzyltash	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Spartak Nalchik	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Nart Cherkessk - Spartak Nalchik	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Spartak Nalchik - Angust Nazran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLT
- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
13.06.26	Zarya - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Zarya	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Zarya - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Zarya	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Zarya - Rostov 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLL

Spartak Nalchik - Zarya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide