Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zarya		Angust Nazran

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.14	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.41)	3.14 ↑ (2.88)	4.85 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarya
51.4%

Draw
29.5%

Angust Nazran
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.5%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zarya's performance.

Angust Nazran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Angust Nazran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zarya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angust Nazran than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Angust Nazran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zarya - Angust Nazran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Demchenko S. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)

Zarya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Angust is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Zarya is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lugansk	27	8	6	13	36:38	-2	30
14	Angust Nazran	27	5	5	17	14:34	-20	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
07.06.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Zarya	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Zarya - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Zarya	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Zarya - Rostov 2	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Zarya - Chayka 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Angust Nazran
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
06.06.26	Angust Nazran - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Kyzyltash - Angust Nazran	5:1 ✺
23.05.26	Angust Nazran - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Spartak Nalchik - Angust Nazran	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Angust Nazran - Nart Cherkessk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL

Zarya - Angust Nazran