Match Info

BULGARIA: BULGARIAN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Spartak Pleven		Lokomotiv Sofia

	1	X	2
	8.5	4.2	1.44
	5.5	4	1.46
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.28	3.78	1.52
	6	4	1.5
	5.85	4	1.52	Watch
	5.5	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↓ (7.43)	4 ↓ (4.17)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Pleven
15.3%

Draw
23%

Lokomotiv Sofia
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

22%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

21.2%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Pleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spartak Pleven - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Spartak Pleven could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lokomotiv Sofia is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Spartak Pleven won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartak Pleven won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.10.23	Spartak Pleven - Yantra Gabrovo	0:1 ✺
02.10.23	Sportist Svoge - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
27.09.23	Spartak Pleven - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Marek Dupnitsa - Spartak Pleven	4:1 ✺
17.09.23	Ludogorets II - Spartak Pleven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLWLW
- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.10.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
28.09.23	CSKA Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
16.09.23	Slavia Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
19.11.22	Spartak Pleven - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:4
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.03.20	Spartak Pleven - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:2
17.08.19	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Pleven	1:0
25.02.17	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Pleven	1:0

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