Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	STVR Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Trnava		CSKA 1948 Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	3.00	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.00
	2.40	3.15	2.85
	2.17	3.25	2.92
	2.66	3.16	2.66	Watch
	2.01	2.90	2.85
	2.23	3.18	3.22	Watch
	2.24	3.25	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.33)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
40.3%

Draw
28.8%

CSKA 1948 Sofia
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	31.6%	5.3%

Spartak Trnava - CSKA 1948 Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Trnava will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trnava: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (5.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Trnava (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.75 - Trnava (8.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Trnava (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Trnava (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Trnava (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -4 - Trnava (81.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Trnava (6.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75, 1st Half - Trnava (9.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Trnava (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Trnava (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2, 2nd Half - Trnava (27.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -3, 1st Half - Trnava (101.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spartak Trnava will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Trnava (votes: 19 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Vantruba M. (G) 24. Kostrna K. 52. Sabo E. (C) 16. Bajrami M. 29. Mikovic M. 5. Begala R. 91. Lausic M. 20. Trello F. 30. Khorkheli L. 11. Azango P. 14. Wildeboer T.	1. Marinov P. (G) 2. Medina D. 4. Hoffmann A. 3. Dvali L. (C) 22. Gasevic O. 20. Sobrero B. 8. Zemzemi M. 33. Cuellar H. 11. Rusev G. 30. Meyer J. 93. Diallo M.
Substitutes
22. Bukovsky D. 3. Carrion J. 18. Gong H. 40. Jablonicky T. (G) 31. Janacek M. (G) 19. Kudlicka T. 17. Mehmeti L. 25. Mensah I. 6. Prochazka R. 12. Strucka K. 27. Tomic M. 13. Ujlaky M.	19. Boychev M. 77. Franco E. 67. Frederic 96. Grivic D. 9. Iliev A. 23. Krebs F. 17. Martines J. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 15. Soltani F. 14. Strinski K. 10. Tsonev B. 34. Vitanov P.
Coaches
Munoz A.	Vasev Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Medina D. 🟨,
26', Zemzemi M. 🟨,
30', Cuellar H. 🟨,
34', Bajrami M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Diallo M. ↓, Martines J. ↑,
59', Trello F. ↓, Gong H. ↑,
59', Wildeboer T. ↓, Kudlicka T. ↑,
67', Sobrero B. ↓, Frederic ↑,
68', Rusev G. 🟨,
76', Meyer J. ↓, Iliev A. ↑,
76', Zemzemi M. ↓, Krebs F. ↑,
77', Mikovic M. ↓, Carrion J. ↑,
77', Azango P. ↓, Bukovsky D. ↑,
89', Khorkheli L. ↓, Mehmeti L. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

CSKA 1948 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Beşiktaş	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:3 ✺
10.07.26	Spartak Trnava - Šamorín	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Slovácko - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
01.07.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLTTT
- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.07.26	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Železničar Pančevo - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Varaždin - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
01.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Maribor	3:3 ✺
29.06.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Partizan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLTW

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