Match Info

efbet League - Round 1

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Varna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Spartak Varna		CSKA 1948 Sofia

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.00	1.56	Watch
	5.00	3.80	1.57
	5.60	3.85	1.57
	5.62	4.08	1.63
	5.47	3.84	1.61	Watch
	5.15	4.00	1.60
	5.18	3.95	1.61	Watch
	5.20	3.80	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (3.66)	3.92 ↑ (3.33)	1.59 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
17.5%

Draw
23.8%

CSKA 1948 Sofia
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.7%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA 1948 Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Spartak Varna (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 1 - 50%). CSKA 1948 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Iliev P. (G) 20. Lozev D. 45. Tshitoku J. 44. Granchov A. 4. Ivanov B. 82. Silva T. 8. Yordanov D. 17. Marinov T. 10. Jota Lopes 70. Ahmedov A. 90. Stojanovski G.	1. Marinov P. (G) 2. Medina D. 3. Dvali L. 6. Parkhomenko E. 22. Gasevic O. 33. Cuellar H. 17. Martines J. 23. Krebs F. 19. Boychev M. 11. Rusev G. 93. Diallo M.
Substitutes
9. Chunchukov T. 80. Gomes A. 11. Hanne B. 6. Sousa R. 39. Trifonov G. 76. Valverde D. 1. Victor P. (G)	18. Dimitrov B. 77. Franco E. 4. Hoffmann A. 70. Iliev K. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 14. Strinski K. 34. Vitanov P.
Coaches
Hadzievski G.	Aleksandrov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Stojanovski G. ⚽,
19', Boychev M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Tshitoku J. ⚽, Stojanovski G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Krebs F. ↓, Tsonev B. ↑,
46', Cuellar H. ↓, Zemzemi M. ↑,
46', Parkhomenko E. ↓, Hoffmann A. ↑,
46', Boychev M. ↓, Frederic ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Diallo M. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Marinov T. 🟨,
69', Silva T. ↓, Valverde D. ↑,
69', Jota Lopes ↓, Sousa R. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Frederic ⚽, Diallo M. (A),
79', Yordanov D. ↓, Hanne B. ↑,
79', Ahmedov A. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
85', Martines J. ↓, Dimitrov B. ↑,
90', Chunchukov T. 🟨,
90+8', Stojanovski G. ↓, Trifonov G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 0.

Spartak Varna is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

CSKA 1948's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spartak Varna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3.27% Spartak Varna: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	10	7	1	2	19:10	9	22
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA 1948 Sofia - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.1%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	7:3 ✺
04.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Spartak Varna - Dunav Ruse	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
22.05.26	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:0 ✺
18.05.26	Montana - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTWW
- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Železničar Pančevo - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Varaždin - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
01.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Maribor	3:3 ✺
29.06.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Partizan	3:0 ✺
21.06.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Drita Gjilan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.03.26	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2
04.10.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:1
29.11.24	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
28.07.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:2
03.05.23	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	3:3
16.10.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna	2:0
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.02.20	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1

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