Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Ainslie Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, Ross County TV


	Spartans		Ross County

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.42
	5.5	4	1.32
	7	4.75	1.4
	7.32	4.8	1.39
	6.61	4.58	1.39	Watch
	7	4.75	1.33
	7.06	4.8	1.4
	7	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.81 ↑ (5.99)	4.65 ↑ (4.33)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartans
13.5%

Draw
19.8%

Ross County
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

21.7%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

19.9%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ross County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spartans - Ross County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Heraghty J. (G) 2. Watson K. 15. Sonkur A. 44. Watson P. 3. Booth C. 7. Dishington J. 33. Whyte B. 8. Hunter L. 28. Craigen J. 11. Russell C. 9. Henderson B.	1. Laidlaw R. (G) 9. Hale R. 8. Randall C. 7. Loturi V. 2. Brown J. 10. Chilvers N. 15. Denholm A. 3. Leak R. 35. Nightingale W. 16. Harmon G. 26. White J.
Substitutes
1. Carswell B. (G) 14. Denholm D. 5. Inglis C. 16. Lamont B. 6. Scott A. 20. Scott M. 18. Walls B. 22. Whittaker R. 17. Wylie A.	27. Brophy E. 14. Grieves J. 33. MacLeod A. 43. Reid J. 34. Robesten G. 31. Ross L. (G) 25. Samuel A. 21. Telfer Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Watson P. 🟨,
26', Watson K. 🟨,
29', Loturi V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Henderson B. ⚽, Dishington J. (A),
58', Chilvers N. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
65', Denholm A. 🟨,
70', Denholm A. ↓, Robesten G. ↑,
70', White J. ↓, Brophy E. ↑,
80', Loturi V. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
81', Leak R. ↓, Grieves J. ↑,
81', Hale R. 🟨,
86', Dishington J. ↓, Whittaker R. ↑,

Preview

Spartans in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ross County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ross County is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
10.08.24	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Stranraer - Spartans	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
27.07.24	Livingston - Spartans	0:1 ✺
23.07.24	Spartans - Forfar Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.07.24	Cove Rangers - Spartans	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WTWWW
- Ross County
Scottish Premier League
10.08.24	Ross County - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Motherwell - Ross County	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
27.07.24	Ross County - Stirling Albion	3:0 ✺
23.07.24	Hamilton Academical - Ross County	1:2 ✺
20.07.24	Ross County - Raith Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWW

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