Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Fir Park (Motherwell)


	Motherwell		Ross County

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	6.5
	1.28	5.3	9.2
	1.27	5.02	9.28
	1.3	4.6	9.5
	1.37	5.84	7.22
	1.3	5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.29)	5.17 ↓ (5.2)	8.53 ↓ (8.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motherwell
71.1%

Draw
18%

Ross County
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.7%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Motherwell - Ross County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matty Connelly (G) 2. O'Donnell S. (C) 25. Priestman O. 4. Gordon L. 22. Koutroumbis J. 7. Sparrow T. 8. Slattery C. 90. Said I. 28. Ross L. 18. Maswanhise T. 9. Stamatelopoulos A.	30. Carson T. (G) 6. Randall C. (C) 15. Smith D. 16. Iacovitti A. 3. O'Sullivan L. 23. Docherty R. 8. Cornelius D. 7. Henderson J. 38. Lindsay J. 27. Duncan R. 26. White J.
Substitutes
12. Fadinger L. 21. Just E. 45. Longelo E. 39. McAllister Z. 6. McGhee J. 16. McGinn P. 24. Osong D. E. 1. Oxborough A. (G) 48. Thomson A.	14. Clark N. 21. Foster B. (G) 9. Hale R. 18. MacLeod A. 11. Phillips K. 5. Pitan L. 44. Scott J. 29. Thomson M. 25. Wells-Morrison J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Randall C. 🟨,
43', Lindsay J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Ross L. ↓, Fadinger L. ↑,
56', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Just E. ↑,
61', Henderson J. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
61', White J. ↓, Hale R. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Maswanhise T. ⚽,
66', O'Donnell S. ↓, Longelo E. ↑,
66', Sparrow T. ↓, McGhee J. ↑,
73', Cornelius D. 🟨,
75', Smith D. 🟨,
76', Cornelius D. ↓, Pitan L. ↑,
76', Duncan R. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
84', Lindsay J. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
86', O'Sullivan L. 🟨,
89', Said I. ↓, McAllister Z. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 1.

Motherwell is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ross County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Motherwell is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).

Outrights of Scottish Cup for now

Motherwell: 3.03% Ross County: 0.67%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
10.01.26	Hibernian - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Motherwell - St. Mirren	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Motherwell - Celtic	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Glasgow Rangers - Motherwell	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Motherwell - Dundee	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWLW
- Ross County
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
09.01.26	Ross County - Partick Thistle	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Ross County - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Ross County - Arbroath	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Raith Rovers - Ross County	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
18.05.25	Ross County - Motherwell	1:1
15.02.25	Motherwell - Ross County	0:3
23.11.24	Ross County - Motherwell	2:1
03.08.24	Motherwell - Ross County	0:0
11.05.24	Ross County - Motherwell	1:5
06.02.24	Motherwell - Ross County	5:0
05.12.23	Ross County - Motherwell	3:0

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