Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 27

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Ainslie Park (Edinburgh)


	Spartans		Bonnyrigg Rose

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.16	3	3.15
	2.25	3.16	3.31
	2.2	3.08	3.24	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.5
	2.3	2.92	3.44
	2.16	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.93)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	3.3 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartans
41.8%

Draw
30.3%

Bonnyrigg Rose
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

23.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Bonnyrigg Rose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spartans will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bonnyrigg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carswell B. (G) 2. Watson K. 15. Sonkur A. 4. Waugh K. 3. Booth C. 7. Dishington J. 28. Craigen J. 22. Morgan L. 33. Whyte B. 10. Ritchie H. 11. Russell C.	1. McNeil A. (G) 2. Mailer A. 18. Somerville K. 3. Martyniuk N. 20. Lennon G. 8. Arnott A. . Aiken M. 10. Currie L. 11. Barrett B. 19. Ross C. 24. Watson B.
Substitutes
. Dall Bailey 9. Henderson B. 8. Hunter L. 5. Laing J. 21. Meek A. (G) 19. Preston A. 6. Scott A. 29. Stowe M. 18. Walls B.	25. Andrews M. (G) 15. Callum Hogg 22. Connolly C. 7. Ferrie M. 4. Gardiner C. 21. Joseph Laing 9. McGachie K. 6. Murphy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Barrett B. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Booth C. ⚽,
22', Currie L. 🟨,
41', Watson K. 🟨,
45+1', Morgan L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Morgan L. ↓, Walls B. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Dishington J. ⚽, Walls B. (A),
61', Currie L. ↓, Ferrie M. ↑,
61', Russell C. ↓, Henderson B. ↑,
72', Ritchie H. ↓, Stowe M. ↑,
73', Watson K. ↓, Preston A. ↑,
77', Booth C. ↓, Hunter L. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Aiken M. ⚽,
83', Somerville K. 🟨,
84', Mailer A. ↓, McGachie K. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Stowe M. ⚽, Henderson B. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartans won 3.

Recent matches Spartans is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bonnyrigg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bonnyrigg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Spartans will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Spartans won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Spartans won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
25.02.25	Spartans - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Clyde - Spartans	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Edinburgh City - Spartans	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	Spartans - East Fife	0:1 ✺
04.02.25	Stirling Albion - Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLW
- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
22.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Clyde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
21.01.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:2
10.08.24	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0
20.04.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	0:1
05.03.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:2
24.02.24	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1
30.09.23	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:2
Scottish Lowland League
15.11.19	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:3

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