Match Info

National League North - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Spennymoor Town		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.72	3.55	4.45
	1.78	3.64	4.32
	1.88	3.44	3.97	Watch
	1.72	3.62	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	3.56 ↑ (3.36)	4.42 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
53.3%

Draw
25.9%

Leamington
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

27%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spennymoor Town's performance.

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spennymoor Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spennymoor Town - Leamington Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spennymoor will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spennymoor Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Taylor G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 0, Taylor G. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 4.

Recent performances by Spennymoor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leamington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Spennymoor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Spennymoor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.3:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
02.09.25	Worksop Town - Spennymoor Town	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	AFC Telford United - Spennymoor Town	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Spennymoor Town - Macclesfield Town	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Oxford City - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Spennymoor Town - King`s Lynn Town	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWL
- Leamington
English National League North
02.09.25	Leamington - Southport	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Leamington - Chorley	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Leamington	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Leamington - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Peterborough Sports - Leamington	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.12.24	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	2:1
17.08.24	Leamington - Spennymoor Town	3:1
21.03.23	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	1:0
20.08.22	Leamington - Spennymoor Town	0:1
09.04.22	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	1:0
28.08.21	Leamington - Spennymoor Town	2:1
25.01.20	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	2:0

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