Match Info

National League North - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Leamington		Chorley

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.9
	3.5	3.2	1.9
	3.55	3.35	1.95
	3.71	3.35	2
	3.26	3.17	2.21	Watch
	3.57	3.34	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.83)	3.32 ↓ (3.63)	1.99 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leamington
26.3%

Draw
27.6%

Chorley
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leamington's form might have worsened.

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leamington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Leamington - Chorley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chorley will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Ram M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 2.

Leamington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chorley is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chorley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leamington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Leamington - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.28%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Chorley - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leamington
English National League North
25.08.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Leamington	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Leamington - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Peterborough Sports - Leamington	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Leamington - South Shields	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Leamington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTLT
- Chorley
English National League North
25.08.25	Chorley - King`s Lynn Town	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hereford - Chorley	1:4 ✺
19.08.25	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Chorley - Chester	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Darlington - Chorley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.03.25	Leamington - Chorley	3:2
09.11.24	Chorley - Leamington	2:1
15.04.23	Leamington - Chorley	1:2
15.10.22	Chorley - Leamington	1:0
12.02.22	Leamington - Chorley	2:1
13.11.21	Chorley - Leamington	1:0
12.01.21	Chorley - Leamington	1:2

Upcoming Matches