Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 42

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Spennymoor Town		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.1
	1.68	3.85	4.4
	1.71	3.92	4.16
	1.73	3.78	4.51	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	1.68	3.75	4.55
	1.68	3.85	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	3.79 ↓ (4.12)	4.39 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
54.6%

Draw
24.4%

Needham Market
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

22.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

21.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Spennymoor Town - Needham Market Predictions

Users Predictions: Spennymoor Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, McKeown C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 20).

Spennymoor is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Needham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spennymoor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Spennymoor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Spennymoor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
15.03.25	King`s Lynn Town - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
11.03.25	Buxton - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Peterborough Sports	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Spennymoor Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Sutton United - Spennymoor Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTWW
- Needham Market
English National League North
15.03.25	Needham Market - Chorley	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Scarborough Athletic - Needham Market	5:0 ✺
08.03.25	Needham Market - Marine	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chester - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Needham Market - Leamington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.11.24	Needham Market - Spennymoor Town	1:1

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