Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 39

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Needham Market		Chorley

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.85
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.5	3.45	1.98
	3.39	3.7	1.95
	3.72	3.63	1.92	Watch
	3.87	3.64	1.82
	3.5	3.45	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.51)	3.51 ↓ (3.74)	1.91 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
25.5%

Draw
26.2%

Chorley
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

24.6%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

24.2%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Needham Market's performance.

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chorley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Needham Market that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chorley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Needham Market - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hall K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, Morphew K. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ingram L. (Pen),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Needham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chorley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chorley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Needham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
11.03.25	Scarborough Athletic - Needham Market	5:0 ✺
08.03.25	Needham Market - Marine	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chester - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Needham Market - Leamington	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	South Shields - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTTL
- Chorley
English National League North
11.03.25	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Chorley - Chester	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Leamington - Chorley	3:2 ✺
25.02.25	Chorley - Farsley	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Warrington Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
12.10.24	Chorley - Needham Market	1:0

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