The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spezia 24.9%
Draw 34.2%
Juve Stabia 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
30%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
30.3%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.
Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+20%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
50%
10%
Spezia - Juve Stabia Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% โ 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mascardi D. (C) 23. Candela A. 11. Beruatto P. 37. Mateju A. 55. Hristov P. 2. Wisniewski P. 8. Nagy A. 5. Esposito Sa. 20. Di Serio G. 9. Artistico G. 29. Cassata F.
1. Confente A. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 33. Giorgini A. 29. Correia O. 13. Varnier M. (C) 55. Leone G. 37. Maistro F. 10. Pierobon C. 4. Ruggero M. 11. Piscopo K. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
31. Aurelio G. 15. Cistana A. 34. Comotto C. 6. Fellipe Jack 80. Kouda R. 10. Lapadula G. 16. Loria L. (G) 1. Sarr M. (G) 27. Soleri E. 32. Vignali L. 99. Vlahovic V. 14. Zurkowski S.
15. Baldi M. 23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 77. Cacciamani A. 27. Candellone L. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 98. Mosti N. 3. Reale F. 16. Signorini A. (G) 19. Stabile G. 45. Zuccon F.
Coaches
D'Angelo L.
Abate I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Correia O. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. ⚽, Maistro F. (A),
45', Pierobon C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cassata F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
46', Artistico G. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
56', Maistro F. ↓, Candellone L. ↑,
56', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
58', Di Serio G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Soleri E. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
61', 1 - 3, Candellone L. ⚽, Burnete R. (A),
64', Correia O. 🟨,
65', Varnier M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
71', Beruatto P. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
72', Hristov P. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
79', Ruggero M. 🟨,
83', Correia O. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
83', Pierobon C. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Spezia has had a series of home games.
In this match, Spezia is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G.
(Inactive)
Bandinelli F.
(Inactive)
Serpe L.
(Inactive)
Verde D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Bellich M.
(Overload)
Ciammaglichella A.
(Overload)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).