The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spezia 40.7%
Draw 31.1%
Sampdoria 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
29.9%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
26.2%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
60%
10%
Spezia - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% โ 90.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mascardi D. (C) 37. Mateju A. 2. Wisniewski P. 11. Beruatto P. 23. Candela A. 80. Kouda R. 8. Nagy A. 25. Bandinelli F. 31. Aurelio G. 99. Vlahovic V. 9. Artistico G.
1. Ghidotti S. (G) 18. Venuti L. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 31. Vulikic S. 10. Cherubini L. 14. Bellemo A. 16. Henderson L. 80. Benedetti L. 21. Giordano S. 20. Pafundi S. 9. Coda M. (C)
Substitutes
36. Candelari P. 15. Cistana A. 34. Comotto C. 6. Fellipe Jack 55. Hristov P. 10. Lapadula G. 77. Lorenzelli E. 16. Loria L. (G) 26. Onofri M. 1. Sarr M. (G) 7. Verde D. 32. Vignali L.
72. Barak A. 34. Casalino T. 33. Conti F. 98. Coucke G. (G) 25. Ferrari A. 4. Ferri J. 44. Ioannou N. 22. Krastev A. (G) 70. Narro V. 11. Pedrola E. 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A.
Coaches
Donadoni R.
Gregucci A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Benedetti L. 🟨,
22', Pafundi S. 🟨,
31', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Beruatto P. (A),
54', Bellemo A. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
54', Benedetti L. ↓, Conti F. ↑,
64', Vulikic S. 🟨,
65', Artistico G. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
66', Vulikic S. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
78', Bandinelli F. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
78', Henderson L. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
78', Giordano S. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
83', Beruatto P. 🟨,
84', Beruatto P. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
84', Kouda R. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Spezia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F.
(Red Card)
Esposito Sa.
(Inactive)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O.
(Injury)
Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Cuni M.
(Inactive)
Depaoli F.
(Yellow Cards)
Ferrari A.
(Inactive)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Malagrida L.
(Inactive)
Ricci M.
(Inactive)
Riccio A.
(Inactive)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Spezia: Di Serio G.
(Injury)
Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: Benedetti L.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
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Mascardi D. (C) 
Mateju A. 
Wisniewski P. 
Nagy A. 
Vlahovic V. 
Hadzikadunic D. 
Vulikic S. 
Henderson L. 
Hristov P. 
Lapadula G. 
Sarr M. (G) 
Coucke G. (G) 
Ferri J. 
Ioannou N. 
Narro V. 
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