Match Info

3. Liga - East - Round 30

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Štadión Spišská Nová Ves (Spisska Nova Ves)


	Spišská Nová Ves		Novohrad Lučenec

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.25
	1.22	5.6	9.4
	1.34	4.83	6.34
	1.24	5.45	10.09
	1.17	5.85	13.5
	1.22	5.6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	5.35 ↑ (4.4)	9.33 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spišská Nová Ves
73.1%

Draw
17.1%

Novohrad Lučenec
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

16.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spišská Nová Ves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spišská Nová Ves's performance.

Novohrad Lučenec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Novohrad Lučenec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spišská Nová Ves than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spišská Nová Ves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novohrad Lučenec than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novohrad Lučenec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spišská Nová Ves - Novohrad Lučenec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).

In recent matches, Spišská Nová Ves has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Novohrad Lučenec is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spišská Nová Ves won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Spišská Nová Ves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Spišská Nová Ves
Slovak 3 Liga East
24.05.25	Baník Kalinovo - Spišská Nová Ves	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Spišská Nová Ves - Spišské Podhradie	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	Snina - Spišská Nová Ves	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Spišská Nová Ves - Vranov nad Topľou	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Námestovo - Spišská Nová Ves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLWL
- Novohrad Lučenec
Slovak 3 Liga East
24.05.25	Novohrad Lučenec - Dolný Kubín	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Poprad - Novohrad Lučenec	3:1 ✺
14.05.25	Novohrad Lučenec - Lokomotíva Košice	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Novohrad Lučenec - Baník Kalinovo	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Spišské Podhradie - Novohrad Lučenec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga East
27.05.23	Novohrad Lučenec - Spišská Nová Ves	0:0
29.10.22	Spišská Nová Ves - Novohrad Lučenec	3:0

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