Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)

Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	GOL Peru
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play
Usa	FuboTV
World	Fanatiz


	Sport Boys		Carlos A. Mannucci

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.33	Watch
	1.61	3.5	4.6
	1.62	3.85	5.3
	1.62	3.8	5.46
	1.62	3.82	5.41	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.65	3.98	5.38	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.69)	3.82 ↑ (3.61)	5.09 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
57.6%

Draw
24.2%

Carlos A. Mannucci
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Carlos A. Mannucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Sport Boys - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sport Boys: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 28. Chavez E. 22. Rios J. 29. Mansilla F. 31. Carbajal C. 5. Amondarain M. 24. Lopez J. 8. Grahl F. 33. Villamarin J. 18. Rodriguez G. 10. Techera C.	12. Heredia M. (G) 24. Rizzo G. 19. Miguez P. 13. Llontop M. 4. Saba E. 6. Viera G. 16. Benitez A. 33. Hurtado C. 23. Mimbela W. 22. Urruti L. 7. Succar A.
Substitutes
35. Alvarado S. 15. Benites A. 38. Cantt J. 7. Huaman A. 19. Palacios B. 30. Pena K. 12. Quispe I. (G) 9. Roca F. 25. Salazar R.	1. Barbieri J. (G) 14. Cortave M. 11. Cortes J. 2. Cossio A. 5. Gaona M. 17. Liza P. 88. Quina N. 15. Velarde C. 21. Vidales J.
Coaches
Alayo J.	Paredes S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
22', 0 - 1, Benitez A. ⚽, Llontop M. (A),
34', Carbajal C. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Urruti L. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Succar A. ⚽, Urruti L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Lopez J. ↓, Benites A. ↑,
46', Villamarin J. ↓, Roca F. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Benitez A. ⚽, Mimbela W. (A),
68', Llontop M. 🟨,
69', Rios J. ↓, Huaman A. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Grahl F. ⚽, Benites A. (A),
73', Succar A. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
73', Viera G. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
73', Llontop M. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
75', Chavez E. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
76', 1 - 5, Benitez A. ⚽, Urruti L. (A),
79', Rizzo G. ↓, Quina N. ↑,
79', Hurtado C. ↓, Vidales J. ↑,
80', Grahl F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
80', Heredia M. 🟨,
86', 2 - 5, Roca F. (Pen),
90+3', 2 - 6, Urruti L. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sport Boys won 0.

Recent matches Sport Boys is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mannucci is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sport Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sport Boys is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sport Boys won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Boys won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
16.08.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Boys	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Sport Boys - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
05.08.24	Cusco - Sport Boys	3:1 ✺
30.07.24	Sport Boys - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLWL
- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
18.08.24	Los Chankas - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Sporting Cristal - Carlos A. Mannucci	4:0 ✺
31.07.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - ADT Tarma	3:2 ✺
26.07.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
14.03.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Boys	1:0
23.07.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Boys	0:0
18.02.23	Sport Boys - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:1
09.10.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sport Boys	0:0
22.05.22	Sport Boys - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:4
22.10.21	Sport Boys - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:3
16.11.20	Sport Boys - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:4

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