The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Garcilaso 55.9%
Draw 26.6%
Sport Boys 17.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.4%
26.5%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
25.4%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 19. Gomez A. 13. Benincasa H. 16. Nunez O. 23. Moreno X. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 30. Da Silva B. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Arancibia F. 24. Olivares C.
22. Melian D. (G) 4. Alfani R. 26. Riojas H. (C) 55. Dulanto G. 13. Llontop M. 5. Illanes F. 7. Lopez C. 24. Mora O. 11. Urruti L. 10. Alarcon J. 9. Nequecaur L.
Substitutes
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 29. Graneros A. 2. Salazar A. 10. Sandoval K. 7. Sinisterra J. 14. Torrejon C. 33. Villacorta S.
35. Alvarado D. 14. Diaz R. 23. Gonzales J. 21. Huaman A. 30. Liza P. 29. Loyola N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Dominguez S.
Desio C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Arancibia F. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Urruti L. ⚽, Dulanto G. (A),
45+1', Dulanto G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 2, Nequecaur L. ⚽, Lopez C. (A),
62', Moreno X. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
63', Dominguez S. 🟨,
65', Alarcon J. 🟨,
72', Alarcon J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
72', Lopez C. ↓, Gonzales J. ↑,
73', Olivares C. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
73', Arancibia F. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
85', Canales E. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
85', Nequecaur L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Da Silva B. ⚽, Sandoval K. (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Da Silva B. ⚽,
90+4', Liza P. 🟨,
90+5', Urruti L. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
90+5', Llontop M. ↓, Huaman A. ↑,
90+6', Gomez A. 🟨,
90+8', Alfani R. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 4.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Sport Boys: Illanes F.
(Injury)
Solis L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Torrejon C.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Sport Boys: Lopez C.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 3:0).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Deportivo Garcilaso
14
8
1
5
26:15
11
25
10
Sport Boys
13
6
3
4
19:14
5
21
Last Results with these Odds
Sport Boys - the odds 5.75 are the expected chance of winning is 16.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.