Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cusco		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	11	Watch
	1.22	6.1	11	Watch
	1.22	6.05	12.29
	1.34	4.72	7.93	Watch
	1.25	5.4	11.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.6 ↑ (4.72)	10.72 ↑ (7.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
74.6%

Draw
16.7%

Sport Boys
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

19.5%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cusco's performance.

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Cusco - Sport Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 8. Fuentes A. 19. Gamarra C. 6. Ampuero A. 24. Ruidias M. 16. Valenzuela O. 26. Silva N. (C) 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. 22. Colitto L. 9. Callejo F.	1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 9. Nequecaur L. 31. Carbajal C. 41. Solis A. 35. Alvarado D. 99. Alarcon J. 6. Saba E. 27. Villalta B. 8. Da C. H. 24. Mora O. 7. Lopez C.
Substitutes
5. Aucca M. 29. Correa E. 4. Custodio A. 7. Da Silva P. 18. Galvez S. 11. Tevez J. 13. Vidal A. (G) 15. Zarabia S. 21. Zevallos J.	16. Aranda S. 32. Flores V. 88. Franco E. (G) 23. Gonzales J. 77. Martinez F. 22. Rios J. 13. Roca F. 18. Rodriguez G. 25. Salazar R.
Coaches
Rondelli M.	Cabanillas J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Villalta B. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Colman I. (Pen),
54', Gamarra C. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
64', Saba E. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
73', Alarcon J. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
85', Valenzuela O. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
85', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
85', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
90+5', Da C. H. ↓, Salazar R. ↑,
90+5', Nequecaur L. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
90+5', Silva N. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.

Cusco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sport Boys is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sport Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cusco is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Sport Boys: Riojas H. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
02.11.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Cusco	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cusco - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Cienciano - Cusco	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Los Chankas - Cusco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWTL
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
02.11.25	Sport Boys - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	1:0 ✺
16.10.25	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sport Boys - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Boys	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
06.07.25	Sport Boys - Cusco	1:2
05.08.24	Cusco - Sport Boys	3:1
24.02.24	Sport Boys - Cusco	3:0
03.10.23	Sport Boys - Cusco	2:1
27.05.23	Cusco - Sport Boys	2:1
22.09.21	Sport Boys - Cusco	3:2
13.04.21	Cusco - Sport Boys	2:2

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