The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Boys 53.4%
Draw 26.1%
Cienciano 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
27.8%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
27.6%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Boys's performance.
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Boys that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cienciano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sport Boys - Cienciano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 8. Da Campo N. 11. Urruti L. 10. Alarcon J. 99. Cueva C. 32. Erustes P.
1. Falcon G. (G) 22. Cabello C. 26. Aguilar R. 27. Yovera A. 14. Cavero S. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 8. Aguirre G. 17. Sandoval R. 10. Hohberg A. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)
Substitutes
4. Alfani R. 77. Celi Y. 14. Diaz R. 55. Dulanto G. 28. Gonzales E. 5. Illanes F. 29. Loyola N. 61. Nolasco J. (G) 47. Trauco M.
4. Amondarain M. 88. Barreto G. 3. Becerra K. 39. Caparo H. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 18. La Torre D. 16. Martinich M. 13. Nunez C. 29. Robles A.
Coaches
Desio C.
Melgarejo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Garces C. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Urruti L. (A),
23', Da Campo N. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
43', Martinich M. 🟨,
43', Martinich M. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cabello C. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
46', Cavero S. ↓, Becerra K. ↑,
46', Yovera A. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
56', 4 - 1, Erustes P. ⚽, Llontop M. (A),
59', Cueva C. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
64', Alarcon J. ↓, Trauco M. ↑,
64', Da Campo N. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
65', 5 - 1, Celi Y. ⚽, Trauco M. (A),
68', Sandoval R. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
68', Hohberg A. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
72', Erustes P. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
72', Mora O. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sport Boys is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sport Boys: Liza P.
(Red Card)
Solis L.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cienciano: Succar M.
(Red Card)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Peru
Usa
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Melian D. (G) 
Saba E. 
Zambrano C. 
Da Campo N. 
Garces C. (C) 
Nunez C. 
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