Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 11

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Sport Boys		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.9	3.25	2.43
	3.04	3.15	2.39
	2.8	3.2	2.35
	2.94	3.4	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (1.95)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	2.37 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
31.8%

Draw
28.9%

Deportivo Municipal
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.5%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Boys's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Municipal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sport Boys won 3.

Sport Boys is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Municipal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sport Boys won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Boys won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
02.04.23	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	Sport Boys - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
17.03.23	Sport Boys - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
10.03.23	ADT Tarma - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
03.03.23	Sport Boys - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
31.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Municipal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
07.08.22	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys	2:2
13.03.22	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	1:2
03.09.21	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Boys	0:1
30.04.21	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	3:1
05.11.20	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	1:0
25.09.20	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	1:1
07.09.19	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	2:1

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