Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.66
	4.6	3.7	1.72
	4.79	3.47	1.78
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.7	3.74	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.46)	3.52 ↓ (3.82)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
19.8%

Draw
26.4%

Sporting Cristal
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

24.3%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

24.1%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Cristal will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 0.

Recent matches Municipal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Cristal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting Cristal is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Municipal won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
26.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Municipal	3:0 ✺
20.02.23	Deportivo Municipal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLW
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
25.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Cantolao	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.23	Sporting Cristal - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	4:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.03.23	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sporting Cristal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.09.22	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	0:3
16.04.22	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	6:4
30.07.21	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1
13.04.21	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	3:1
08.10.20	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1
15.09.19	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	0:1
31.03.19	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Municipal	2:0

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