Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Sport Recife		Jaguar

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9
	1.25	4.7	8.4
	1.24	5.09	12.58
	1.27	4.85	10.86	Watch
	1.25	5	9.5
	1.29	4.95	8.2
	1.25	4.7	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.18)	4.9 ↓ (5.83)	9.56 ↓ (11.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
72%

Draw
18.5%

Jaguar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.7%

15.6%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Jaguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sport Recife - Jaguar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 44. Chico 2. Di Placido L. 8. Dominguez F. 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 11. Gustavo Maia 16. Igor Carius 77. Lobato L. 10. Lucas Lima (C) 43. Marcelo Ajul 7. Paciencia G.	1. Everton (G) 8. Brendon 10. Daniel 6. Eduardo Brito 9. Halef Pitbull 2. Jadiel 5. Joao A. S. 4. Marcelo Amaral 7. Pedro Maycon 3. Tallys 16. Thalison
Substitutes
25. Antonio Carlos 30. Chrystian Barletta 29. Dalbert 41. Davi (G) 72. Dedezinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 32. Hereda 19. Hyoran 33. Matheus Alexandre 59. Ortiz C. 13. Renzo 91. Romarinho 12. Thiago Couto (G) 58. Ze Lucas	20. Adriel 13. Alisson 18. Deyvson 11. Guilherme 15. Jo 14. Joao Rocha 17. Leo Mago 19. Luciano Grafite 12. Marcao (G) 24. Miguel (G) 22. Rafael Peixoto 21. Tabika

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Lobato L. ⚽,
16', 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Paciencia G. ⚽,
18', Halef Pitbull 🟨,
18', Di Placido L. 🟨,
22', 🟨,
28', 3 - 0, Paciencia G. ⚽,
29', Brendon ↓, Alisson ↑,
39', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 1, Pedro Maycon ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chico ↓, Renzo ↑,
46', Paciencia G. ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
46', Lucas Lima ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
46', Eduardo Brito ↓, Luciano Grafite ↑,
56', Alisson 🟨,
62', Lobato L. ↓, Romarinho ↑,
70', Dominguez F. 🟨,
75', 4 - 1, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽,
77', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recife is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Recife is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.01.25	Central SC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.01.25	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
14.01.25	Sport Recife - Decisão	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTTT
- AD Jaguar
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Jaguar - Decisão	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Jaguar	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Central SC - Jaguar	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Pernambucano 2
21.09.24	Decisão - Jaguar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWLTW

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