The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife U20 52.6%
Draw 26.8%
Santa Cruz Recife U20 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28.6%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
30.5%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife U20's performance.
Santa Cruz Recife U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife U20 than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife U20 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Cabeca D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, de Barros Viturino M. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, de Barros Viturino M. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
Recent matches Sport Recife U20 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Santa Cruz U20 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Santa Cruz U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sport Recife U20 is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sport Recife U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Sport Recife U20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.