Match Info

Matogrossense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Massami Uriu (Gigante) (Sinop)


	Sport Sinop		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.6	1.5
	6.31	3.57	1.5
	6.25	3.6	1.54	Watch
	6.5	3.3	1.53
	6.77	3.54	1.57
	6	3.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.29 ↓ (7.5)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Sinop
14.5%

Draw
25.6%

Cuiabá
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

23.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

21.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Sinop has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Sinop than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sport Sinop - Cuiabá Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Sport Sinop (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sport Sinop (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Sport Sinop is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cuiabá has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sport Sinop may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cuiabá has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cuiabá is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sport Sinop won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sport Sinop won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Sport Sinop
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.02.26	Sport Sinop - Chapada	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Mixto - Sport Sinop	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Várzea Grande - Sport Sinop	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.5 WTWLW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.02.26	Cuiabá - Várzea Grande	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Chapada - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
21.01.26	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	0:1
22.02.25	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	5:0
01.02.23	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	3:0
16.02.22	Sport Sinop - Cuiabá	1:1

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