Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 9

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Sport Sinop		Chapada

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	2.98
	2.31	2.76	3.2
	2.55	2.85	2.9	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.34	3.12	3.12
	2.57	2.8	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)	2.87 ↓ (3.02)	3.01 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Sinop
37.9%

Draw
31.8%

Chapada
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Sinop has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Chapada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sinop than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapada than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Sport Sinop - Chapada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 🟥,
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sport Sinop may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Sport Sinop
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
05.02.26	Mixto - Sport Sinop	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Várzea Grande - Sport Sinop	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Cuiabá - Sport Sinop	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Sport Sinop - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43 TWLWL
- Chapada FC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
04.02.26	Chapada - União Rondonópolis	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Luverdense - Chapada	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Nova Mutum - Chapada	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Chapada - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
21.01.26	Operário Ltda - Chapada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLLTW

Sport Sinop - Chapada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide