The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Sébaco 37.8%
Draw 27.8%
UNAN Managua 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
25.5%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
26.6%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Sébaco's form might have worsened.
UNAN Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UNAN Managua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Sébaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAN Managua than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UNAN Managua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. UNAN Managua will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAN Managua (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 🟥,
90+1', 🟥,
90+9', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
UNAN Managua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sport Sébaco is a strong favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sébaco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.8:0.9).
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