Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Sport Sébaco		Walter Ferretti

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.70
	2.25	3.05	2.8	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.79
	2.4	3.24	2.91	Watch
	2.3	3	2.7
	2.43	3.27	2.88
	2.27	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.02)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Sébaco
39%

Draw
28.6%

Walter Ferretti
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

25.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Walter Ferretti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Sébaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walter Ferretti than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Walter Ferretti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Corea B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sport Sébaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sébaco won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.4:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11
8	Ferretti	10	2	2	6	14:18	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Walter Ferretti - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.08.26	Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí	0:5 ✺
22.08.26	Managua - Sport Sébaco	6:1 ✺
08.08.26	Municipal Jalapa - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Rancho Santana - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sport Sébaco - San Marcos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWT
- Deportivo Walter Ferretti
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.08.26	San Marcos - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Walter Ferretti - UNAN Managua	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Rancho Santana - Walter Ferretti	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Walter Ferretti - Matagalpa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
04.03.26	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	3:1
31.01.26	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	1:0
05.10.25	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	2:1
26.07.25	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	4:2
04.05.25	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	2:3
02.03.25	Sport Sébaco - Walter Ferretti	1:0
18.01.25	Walter Ferretti - Sport Sébaco	3:0

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