The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Sébaco 19.3%
Draw 26.1%
Real Estelí 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
27.8%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
27.4%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Sébaco's form might have worsened.
Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Estelí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Sébaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Estelí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sport Sébaco - Real Estelí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+6', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 0 - 3, ⚽,
62', 0 - 4, ⚽,
71', 0 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 1.
Sport Sébaco is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real Estelí's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Estelí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sport Sébaco has had a series of away games.
Recently, Real Estelí has had a series of home games.
In this match, Real Estelí is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1.4:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sébaco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.9:2.4).
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