Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.75	2.14
	2.87	3.74	2.11
	2.85	3.94	2.07
	2.85	3.82	2.06
	2.9	3.75	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.06)	3.8 ↑ (3.53)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
32%

Draw
24.2%

Duisburg
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

25.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Sportfreunde Lotte - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
32', 0 - 1, Bookjans J. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Sussek P. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 3, Sussek P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 4, Topken T. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

SF Lotte is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Duisburg is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

SF Lotte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SF Lotte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, SF Lotte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
10.05.25	Wuppertal - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	4:1 ✺
25.04.25	Köln II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	Bocholt - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:4 ✺
05.04.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rödinghausen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWT
- MSV Duisburg
German Regionalliga West
03.05.25	Duisburg - Wuppertal	3:0 ✺
25.04.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Duisburg - Köln II	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Düren - Duisburg	0:6 ✺
04.04.25	Duisburg - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
30.11.24	Duisburg - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.17	Duisburg - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1
04.12.16	Sportfreunde Lotte - Duisburg	0:2

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