Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Sportfreunde Lotte		Rot-Weiß Ahlen

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	4.25	3.65	1.65
	3.8	3.8	1.77
	4.22	3.69	1.8
	4	3.5	1.78
	4.15	3.92	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.92)	3.66 ↓ (3.72)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportfreunde Lotte
22.8%

Draw
25.1%

Rot-Weiß Ahlen
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

24.8%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

20.1%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Rot-Weiß Ahlen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Ahlen than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rot-Weiß Ahlen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot Weiß Ahlen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Sportfreunde Lotte has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ahlen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ahlen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ahlen is a favorite.

Ahlen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sportfreunde Lotte won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportfreunde Lotte won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
30.10.21	Rödinghausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
27.10.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Wegberg-Beeck	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bonner	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rot-Weiß Ahlen
German Regionalliga West
30.10.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:4 ✺
15.10.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Köln II	2:6 ✺
08.10.21	Wiedenbrück - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	2:2 ✺
02.10.21	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Uerdingen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
06.02.21	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	1:1
19.09.20	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:1
Club Friendly
13.07.16	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2
German Regionalliga West
14.05.16	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:0
29.11.15	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rot-Weiß Ahlen	3:1
Club Friendly
05.08.14	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:3

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