The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City 17.9%
Draw 20%
Philadelphia Union 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.3%
22.2%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
21.7%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Sporting Kansas City - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cleveland S. (G) 13. Reynolds J. 3. Mosquera M. 28. Meyer W. 18. Karic E. 11. Andre Luiz 4. Johnsen L. (C) 20. Agyabeng K. 14. Harris C. 19. Calheira T. 17. Afrifa S.
18. Blake A. (G) 39. Westfield F. 44. Pierre N. 26. Harriel N. 27. Wagner K. 6. Sullivan C. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
16. Bartlett J. 22. Bassong Z. 57. Diego Borges 15. Miller J. 1. Pulskamp J. (G) 24. Ramos R. 99. Reid J. 29. Reid S. 33. Wolff O.
23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 8. Bueno J. 51. Jakupovic M. 31. Marks G. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 33. Sullivan Q.
Coaches
Wicky R.
Richter R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Andre Luiz ⚽, Johnsen L. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Andre Luiz ⚽, Harris C. (A),
16', 3 - 0, Meyer W. ⚽, Karic E. (A),
45', Agyabeng K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
46', Agyabeng K. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
53', Johnsen L. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Damiani B. ⚽, Westfield F. (A),
66', 3 - 2, Sullivan C. ⚽, Jean Jacques D. (A),
68', Calheira T. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
68', 3 - 3, Iloski M. ⚽, Sullivan Q. (A),
70', Sullivan C. 🟨,
71', Afrifa S. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
71', Johnsen L. ↓, Bassong Z. ↑,
73', 3 - 4, Bassong Z. (Own goal),
80', Wagner K. 🟨,
82', Sullivan C. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
83', Harris C. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
83', Lukic J. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
83', Iloski M. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
90', Damiani B. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
90+6', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
90+8', Bassong Z. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th and 7th in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Kansas City (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Philadelphia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Philadelphia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Philadelphia for this game.
Confirmed absences for Kansas City: Blorian O.
(Chest Injury)
Davis J.
(Injury)
Wolff O.
(Ankle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kansas City: Bassong Z.
(Calf Injury)
James I.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Philadelphia: Ndinga P.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Kansas City has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:21 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kansas City against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Philadelphia Union: 2.36% Sporting Kansas City: 0.53%