The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City II 31.6%
Draw 26.3%
Indy Eleven 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
26.7%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
19.5%
54.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Kansas City II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indy Eleven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting Kansas City II - Indy Eleven Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
Sporting KC II has the most likely position - 8 (82.55%), has project points - 27, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Indy has the most likely position - 4 (21.9%), has project points - 41, has currently - 22, has a chance of playoffs (46%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sporting KC II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Indy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sporting KC II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Sporting KC II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Sporting KC II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.