Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Fifth Third Bank Stadium (Kennesaw)

Referee: Nichols A. (Usa)


	Atlanta United II		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.45
	2.6	3.25	2.31
	2.6	3.4	2.31
	2.62	3.42	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.25)	3.33 ↓ (3.61)	2.34 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United II
34.5%

Draw
27%

Indy Eleven
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.2%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

24.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United II's performance.

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Indy Eleven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indy Eleven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Atlanta United II - Indy Eleven Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlanta United II will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Indy will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 13 (92.64%), has project points - 23, has currently - 20, has not chance of playoffs.

Indy has the most likely position - 8 (45.56%), has project points - 40, has currently - 35, has not chance of playoffs.

This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 0, very small match rating 4. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 2.

Atlanta United II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Indy is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlanta United II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Indy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlanta United II won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlanta United II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
17.09.22	Miami - Atlanta United II	2:2 ✺
07.09.22	Atlanta United II - Memphis 901	0:4 ✺
03.09.22	Atlanta United II - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Atlanta United II - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Loudoun United - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWLL
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
25.09.22	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven	5:0 ✺
10.09.22	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	4:3 ✺
03.09.22	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	0:0 ✺
31.08.22	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
16.04.22	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	2:1
02.10.21	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	1:1
04.09.21	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	0:1
08.08.21	Atlanta United II - Indy Eleven	6:2
07.07.21	Atlanta United II - Indy Eleven	1:1
25.09.19	Atlanta United II - Indy Eleven	2:1
22.06.19	Indy Eleven - Atlanta United II	1:0

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