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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon 26.4%
Draw 27%
Benfica 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.9%
21.8%
62.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.9%
23.3%
66.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+19.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wellmann A. (G) 20. Armengol C. 14. Arques D. 41. Barron A. 15. Bea 19. Bonsegundo F. 4. Cancelinha E. 6. Eaton-Collins G. 9. Encarnacao T. 2. Hernandez-Gray J. 11. Perez B. (C)
12. Lima T. (G) 19. Amado C. 25. Davidson C. 23. Gasper A. 22. Gomes D. 5. Lund M. 10. Moller C. 21. Pauleta (C) 9. Raysla N. 13. Sousa Alves L. C. 16. Ucheibe C.
Substitutes
77. Abreu Rodrigues T. F. 10. Capeta A. 17. Claudia Neto 8. Fontemanha R. 21. Lino S. 27. Nave M. 22. Potra C. (G) 18. Raphino B. 13. Santiago C.
14. Almeida L. 6. Cameirao B. 31. Clarinha 15. Costa C. 66. Costa R. (G) 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 20. Martins L. 2. Prat S. 55. Tristao C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Raysla N. ⚽, Amado C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Arques D. ↓, Raphino B. ↑,
63', Pauleta ↓, Cameirao B. ↑,
63', Bonsegundo F. ↓, Claudia Neto ↑,
77', Cancelinha E. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
77', Perez B. ↓, Fontemanha R. ↑,
77', Armengol C. ↓, Santiago C. ↑,
82', Moller C. ↓, Costa C. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Encarnacao T. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Raysla N. ↓, Tristao C. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.
In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.1:2.3).
Portugal
Watch
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Wellmann A. (G) 
Armengol C. 
Barron A. 
Bea 
Bonsegundo F. 
Eaton-Collins G. 
Hernandez-Gray J. 
Lima T. (G) 
Lund M. 
Moller C. 
Ucheibe C. 
Prat S. 
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