Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 6

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Guteva H. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Benfica		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.55
	2.52	3.25	2.62
	2.5	3.6	2.69
	2.48	3.65	2.58	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.61	3.44	2.46
	2.5	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.79)	2.57 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
36.9%

Draw
27%

Paris Saint-Germain
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

24.6%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Benfica - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - PSG (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Benfica (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 1 - 50%). PSG (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 22. Gomes D. 15. Costa C. (C) 5. Lund M. 23. Gasper A. 9. Raysla N. 6. Cameirao B. 25. Davidson C. 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 13. Sousa Alves L. C.	1. Kiedrzynek K. (G) 5. De Almeida E. (C) 2. Samoura T. 19. Gaetino E. 21. Graziani O. 6. Echegini J. 22. Diakite T. 26. Ebayilin A. 20. Elimbi T. 30. Kanjinga M. 9. Brennskag-Dorsin F.
Substitutes
14. Almeida L. 56. Boeckmann C. 31. Clarinha 18. Engesvik R. 77. Guedes N. 12. Lima T. (G) 20. Martins L. 21. Pauleta 2. Prat S. 3. Silva J. 55. Tristao C. 16. Ucheibe C.	24. Benera B. 27. Earps M. (G) 23. Fatier N. 14. Groenen J. 12. Isabela 11. Jourde F. 17. Leuchter R. 39. Morissaint L. 33. Toussaint O. (G) 8. Yaya
Coaches
Baptista I.	Paulo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Echegini J. ⚽,
24', De Almeida E. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Costa C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diakite T. ↓, Groenen J. ↑,
46', De Almeida E. ↓, Isabela ↑,
61', Sousa Alves L. C. ↓, Engesvik R. ↑,
61', Raysla N. ↓, Pauleta ↑,
61', Davidson C. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
61', Amado C. ↓, Almeida L. ↑,
65', Graziani O. ↓, Morissaint L. ↑,
65', Samoura T. ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
74', Gasper A. ↓, Clarinha ↑,
81', Morissaint L. 🟨,
83', Kanjinga M. ↓, Fatier N. ↑,
90+7', Isabela 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

PSG could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica Women
Taça de Portugal Women
14.12.25	Damaiense - Benfica	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
10.12.25	Barcelona - Benfica	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
06.12.25	Benfica - Braga	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.11.25	Paris FC - Benfica	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Benfica - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLT
- Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
French Division 1 Women
12.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
09.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Leuven	0:0 ✺
French Division 1 Women
05.12.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:5 ✺
23.11.25	Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWWL

Benfica - Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide