Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 6

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guteva H. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	21:00	Disney+
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	21:00	Disney+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Disney+
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Disney+
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	21:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Estonia	22:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	Disney+
Greece	22:00	Disney+
Hungary	21:00	Disney+
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	21:00	Disney+
Kazakhstan	02:00	Disney+
Kosovo	21:00	Disney+
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	21:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Disney+
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Disney+, RTP 1
Romania	22:00	Disney+
Slovakia	21:00	Disney+
Spain	21:00	Disney+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+


	Benfica		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.55
	2.52	3.25	2.62
	2.5	3.6	2.69
	2.48	3.65	2.58	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.61	3.44	2.46
	2.5	3.33	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.79)	2.57 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
36.9%

Draw
27%

Paris Saint-Germain
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

24.6%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.4%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Benfica - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - PSG (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Benfica (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 1 - 50%). PSG (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 22. Gomes D. 15. Costa C. (C) 5. Lund M. 23. Gasper A. 9. Raysla N. 6. Cameirao B. 25. Davidson C. 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 13. Sousa Alves L. C.	1. Kiedrzynek K. (G) 5. De Almeida E. (C) 2. Samoura T. 19. Gaetino E. 21. Graziani O. 6. Echegini J. 22. Diakite T. 26. Ebayilin A. 20. Elimbi T. 30. Kanjinga M. 9. Brennskag-Dorsin F.
Substitutes
14. Almeida L. 56. Boeckmann C. 31. Clarinha 18. Engesvik R. 77. Guedes N. 12. Lima T. (G) 20. Martins L. 21. Pauleta 2. Prat S. 3. Silva J. 55. Tristao C. 16. Ucheibe C.	24. Benera B. 27. Earps M. (G) 23. Fatier N. 14. Groenen J. 12. Isabela 11. Jourde F. 17. Leuchter R. 39. Morissaint L. 33. Toussaint O. (G) 8. Yaya
Coaches
Baptista I.	Paulo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Echegini J. ⚽,
24', De Almeida E. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Costa C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diakite T. ↓, Groenen J. ↑,
46', De Almeida E. ↓, Isabela ↑,
61', Sousa Alves L. C. ↓, Engesvik R. ↑,
61', Raysla N. ↓, Pauleta ↑,
61', Davidson C. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
61', Amado C. ↓, Almeida L. ↑,
65', Graziani O. ↓, Morissaint L. ↑,
65', Samoura T. ↓, Jourde F. ↑,
74', Gasper A. ↓, Clarinha ↑,
81', Morissaint L. 🟨,
83', Kanjinga M. ↓, Fatier N. ↑,
90+7', Isabela 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

PSG could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica Women
Taça de Portugal Women
14.12.25	Damaiense - Benfica	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
10.12.25	Barcelona - Benfica	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
06.12.25	Benfica - Braga	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
19.11.25	Paris FC - Benfica	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Benfica - Twente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLT
- Paris Saint-Germain Féminines
French Division 1 Women
12.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
09.12.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Leuven	0:0 ✺
French Division 1 Women
05.12.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:5 ✺
23.11.25	Saint-Étienne - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
20.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWWL

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