Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Canal+ Live 4, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport Uno
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 2
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	ATV Suriname
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTV Prime
World	VIX App


	Sporting Lisbon		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.25	5.25
	1.58	4.6	4.75
	1.52	5.6	5.05
	1.52	5.4	5.4
	1.51	5.46	5.4	Watch
	1.5	4.8	5
	1.58	5.23	5.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	5.19 ↓ (5.27)	5.16 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
62.8%

Draw
18.5%

Bodø Glimt
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

18.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	6.7%	48.3%

Sporting Lisbon - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 26 - 44.1%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 29 - 49.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 36.4% – 62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 6 - 60%). Bodø Glimt (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bodø Glimt (2.52) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Bodø Glimt (4.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Bodø Glimt (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1 - Sporting (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Bodø Glimt (votes: 12 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 72. Quaresma E. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 5. Morita H. 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 8. Goncalves P. 97. Suarez L.	12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 6. Gundersen J. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. 19. Fet S. 11. Blomberg O. 9. Hogh K. (C) 10. Hauge J.
Substitutes
23. Braganca D. 78. Couto M. 6. Debast Z. 41. Diego Callai (G) 26. Diomande O. 15. Faye S. 58. Goncalves F. 90. Nel R. 11. Santos N. 52. Simoes J. 13. Vagiannidis G. 12. Virginia J. (G)	5. Aleesami H. 8. Auklend S. 24. Bassi D. 21. Helmersen A. 22. Klynge A. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 94. Mikkelsen A. 2. Nielsen V. 23. Riisnaes M. 14. Saltnes U. 45. Sjong I. (G)
Coaches
Borges R.	Knutsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Blomberg O. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Inacio G. ⚽, Trincao (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Goncalves P. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
64', Quaresma E. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
68', Hogh K. 🟨,
68', Goncalves P. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
68', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
74', Fresneda I. 🟨,
78', 3 - 0, Suarez L. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Hogh K. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
79', Hauge J. ↓, Saltnes U. ↑,
84', Evjen H. ↓, Bassi D. ↑,
85', Blomberg O. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
90+1', Fet S. ↓, Auklend S. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
92', 4 - 0, Araujo M. ⚽, Trincao (A),
104', Santos N. 🟨,
105+3', Bassi D. 🟨,
106', Gundersen J. ↓, Aleesami H. ↑,
110', Araujo M. ↓, Diomande O. ↑,
110', Trincao ↓, Faye S. ↑,
116', Suarez L. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
118', Saltnes U. 🟨,
120+1', 5 - 0, Nel R. ⚽, Braganca D. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.

Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bodø Glimt is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sporting: Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Kochorashvili G. (Injury) Mangas R. (Knee Injury) Quenda G. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Bro Hansen M. (Inactive) Sunday G. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sporting CP: 0.69% Bodo/Glimt: 0.39%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bodø Glimt - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
03.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWW
- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bodø Glimt - Sporting Lisbon	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
05.03.26	Molde - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Bodø Glimt - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 52 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Bodø Glimt - Sporting Lisbon	3:0

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