The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreirense 8.1%
Draw 16.5%
Sporting Lisbon 75.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.2%
16.9%
72.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10%
16.5%
74.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
11.1%
66.7%
Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sporting will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. (C) 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri 8. Stjepanovic M. 11. Alanzinho 7. Teguia C. 99. Yan Maranhao 10. Kiko Bondoso
1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 5. Morita H. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 31. Luis Guilherme 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
25. Assis A. 27. Francisco Domingues 30. Gower J. 23. John N. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 78. Landerson 16. Mika (G) 71. Santos L. 9. Semedo L.
23. Braganca D. 15. Faye S. 58. Goncalves F. 89. Ioannidis F. 91. Mangas R. 72. Quaresma E. 52. Simoes J. 13. Vagiannidis G. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Costa V.
Borges R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Diomande O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', 0 - 1, Trincao ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
56', Rodri 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Catamo G. ⚽, Trincao (A),
65', Kiko Bondoso ↓, John N. ↑,
65', Rodri ↓, Landerson ↑,
65', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
70', Yan Maranhao ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽,
78', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
78', Catamo G. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
78', Fresneda I. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
80', Stjepanovic M. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
81', Pinto D. ↓, Santos L. ↑,
83', Luis Guilherme ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
Recent performances by Moreirense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sporting is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Moreirense: Caio
(Inactive)
Michel
(Inactive)
There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z.
(Injury)
Goncalves P.
(Yellow Cards)
Kochorashvili G.
(Inactive)
Quenda G.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Sporting: Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 12:40. (average 0.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.8:1.8).