Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	Bold+, Sport Live
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Lithuania	Sport 1
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
World	Onefootball


	Sporting Lisbon		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	1.15	7.5	11	Watch
	1.23	7	9.5
	1.17	6.9	14.5	Watch
	1.19	8.56	13.94
	1.18	8.3	13.09	Watch
	1.17	7.5	12
	1.17	8.95	15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.21)	7.82 ↑ (7.6)	12.72 ↓ (13.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
80.4%

Draw
12.1%

Estoril Praia
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Sporting (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Estoril (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 5. Morita H. 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 31. Luis Guilherme 97. Suarez L.	1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 25. Bacher F. 4. Ferro 12. Carvalho J. (C) 6. Jandro 10. Holsgrove J. 20. Costa G. 14. Begraoui Y. 9. Marques A. 99. Guitane R.
Substitutes
23. Braganca D. 15. Faye S. 8. Goncalves P. 90. Nel R. 72. Quaresma E. 11. Santos N. 52. Simoes J. 13. Vagiannidis G. 12. Virginia J. (G)	57. Bimai L. 22. Carvalho P. 11. Edwards K. 7. Lominadze N. 91. Montes J. 70. Peixinho 21. Pizzi 5. Tsoungui A. 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Borges R.	Cathro I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Trincao (A),
16', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Hjulmand M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Costa G. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
46', Marques A. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
56', Tsoungui A. 🟨,
64', Carvalho J. 🟨,
64', Fresneda I. 🟨,
72', Luis Guilherme ↓, Faye S. ↑,
72', Morita H. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
77', Sanchez R. 🟨,
80', Jandro ↓, Pizzi ↑,
80', Guitane R. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
83', Fresneda I. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
83', Catamo G. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
83', Trincao ↓, Santos N. ↑,
87', Araujo M. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 0, Braganca D. ⚽, Santos N. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.

Sporting is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Estoril is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sporting is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z. (Injury) Kochorashvili G. (Inactive) Quenda G. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Estoril: Boma K. (Inactive) Israelov O. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Lacximicant A. (Inactive) Lominadze N. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:12. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 80.2%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
21.02.26	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
05.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
01.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWW
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
22.02.26	Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	AVS - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Estoril Praia - Tondela	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Santa Clara - Estoril Praia	2:4 ✺
24.01.26	Estoril Praia - Vitoria Guimarães	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
27.09.25	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
03.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	3:1
27.09.24	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
11.05.24	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
05.01.24	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	5:1
27.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	2:0
02.09.22	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:2

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