Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	HBO Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	Sky Sport 257
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 6
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 3
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Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
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Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
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Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
South-america	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 9
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Sporting Lisbon		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6
	1.52	4.6	6.1
	1.52	4.59	6.4
	1.72	4.04	4.51	Watch
	1.56	4.61	5.85
	1.55	4.33	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	4.45 ↑ (4.04)	5.75 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
61.6%

Draw
21.7%

Club Brugge
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.6%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.2%	11.9%	26.9%

Sporting Lisbon - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 41 - 61.2%). Brugge will win (votes: 18 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 49.5% – 72.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Brugge (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sporting (1.78) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Brugge (2.53) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Brugge (5.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Brugge (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 52. Simoes J. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 7. Quenda G. 97. Suarez L.	29. Jackers N. (G) 41. Siquet H. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 25. Stankovic A. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 15. Onyedika R. 9. Forbs C. 17. Vermant R. 8. Tzolis C.
Substitutes
27. Alisson Santos 70. Blopa S. 54. Bruno Ramos 58. Goncalves F. 14. Kochorashvili G. 91. Mangas R. 2. Matheus Reis 5. Morita H. 72. Quaresma E. 28. Ribeiro R. 13. Vagiannidis G. 12. Virginia J. (G)	84. Campbell S. 67. Diakhon M. 82. Gomez van Hoogen S. 22. Mignolet S. (G) 19. Nilsson G. 24. Osuji V. 2. Romero Z. 11. Sandra C. 58. Spileers J. 7. Tresoldi N. 16. van den Heuvel D. (G) 10. Vetlesen H.
Coaches
Borges R.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
20', Onyedika R. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Quenda G. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Vermant R. ↓, Tresoldi N. ↑,
63', Simoes J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
68', Tzolis C. 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Trincao ⚽, Quenda G. (A),
74', Forbs C. ↓, Vetlesen H. ↑,
74', Stankovic A. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
75', Seys J. 🟨,
76', Quenda G. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
76', Catamo G. ↓, Blopa S. ↑,
81', Seys J. ↓, Romero Z. ↑,
81', Siquet H. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
86', Suarez L. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
86', Araujo M. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,

Preview

Sporting is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brugge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Brugge has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sporting is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L. (Muscle Injury) Meijer B. (Muscle Injury) Reis L. (Shoulder Injury) Sabbe K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sporting: Debast Z. (Injury)

We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.11.25	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Juventus - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
31.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
28.10.25	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTWW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.11.25	Club Brugge - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Club Brugge - Barcelona	3:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.11.25	Club Brugge - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Club Brugge - Eendracht Aalst	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
10.12.24	Club Brugge - Sporting Lisbon	2:1
Club Friendly
19.07.19	Club Brugge - Sporting Lisbon	2:2

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