Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann (San José)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	TDMAX


	Sporting San José		Pérez Zeledón

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	5.5
	1.5	3.95	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.08	6.59
	1.49	4.44	6.02	Watch
	1.44	3.6	5.75
	1.56	3.94	5.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.77)	3.95 ↑ (3.42)	5.86 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting San José
61.1%

Draw
23.2%

Pérez Zeledón
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

25.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting San José's performance.

Pérez Zeledón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pérez Zeledón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San José than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting San José that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérez Zeledón than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pérez Zeledón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sporting San José - Pérez Zeledón Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sporting San José (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting San José will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting San José will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting San José (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Moreira L. (G) 2. Salinas Y. 4. Coronado F. 26. Gonzalez G. (C) 13. Soto A. 30. Bolanos R. 32. Pineda C. 19. Mendez J. 7. Diaz L. 22. Ramirez D. 9. George M.	99. Aju M. (G) 30. Rivera Stuart J. 5. Fernandez W. 28. Pastrana E. (C) 6. Hernandez L. 23. Aguirre J. 10. Rodriguez S. 12. Porras K. 17. Soto A. 11. Sequeira B. 19. Pereira M.
Substitutes
17. Alvarez J. (G) 24. Barboza A. 14. Batiz J. 55. De Buen D. 12. Espinoza K. 36. Gonzalez J. 5. Lawrence I. 10. Lopez A. 28. Navarro J. 34. Row S.	25. Climaco A. 7. Garita R. 9. Lorona L. 14. Mendez G. 8. Mora J. 93. Nunez M. 15. Porras A. 4. Rodriguez R. 20. Rojas R. 1. Segura B. (G)
Coaches
Carevic A.	Orozco L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Sequeira B. ⚽,
7', Soto A. 🟨,
32', Pereira M. ↓, Mendez G. ↑,
44', Hernandez L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Salinas Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pineda C. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Gonzalez G. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Salinas Y. 🟨,
65', Rodriguez S. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
65', Sequeira B. ↓, Porras A. ↑,
70', Salinas Y. ↓, De Buen D. ↑,
70', Ramirez D. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, George M. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Porras K. ⚽,
79', Porras K. ↓, Garita R. ↑,
79', Aguirre J. ↓, Rojas R. ↑,
79', Mendez J. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
82', Diaz L. ↓, Lawrence I. ↑,
89', George M. 🟨,
90+1', Mendez G. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting San José won 0.

Recent performances by Sporting San José have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pérez Zeledón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Sporting San José has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sporting San José is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting San José won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting San José won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sporting FC	9	5	2	2	16:8	8	17
8	Zeledon	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Pérez Zeledón - the odds 4.19 are the expected chance of winning is 21.8%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting San José
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.03.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Sporting San José	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Sporting San José - Puntarenas FC	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alajuelense - Sporting San José	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
11.02.26	Cartagines - Sporting San José	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WLLWW
- Pérez Zeledón
Costa Rican Primera Division
04.03.26	Pérez Zeledón - Municipal Liberia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Herediano - Pérez Zeledón	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Pérez Zeledón - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Puntarenas FC - Pérez Zeledón	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cartagines - Pérez Zeledón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
26.01.26	Pérez Zeledón - Sporting San José	0:0
15.10.25	Sporting San José - Pérez Zeledón	0:0
09.08.25	Pérez Zeledón - Sporting San José	2:1
20.04.25	Sporting San José - Pérez Zeledón	0:0
12.01.25	Pérez Zeledón - Sporting San José	1:1
10.11.24	Sporting San José - Pérez Zeledón	0:1
29.07.24	Pérez Zeledón - Sporting San José	0:2

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