The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alajuelense 53.1%
Draw 28.7%
Sporting San José 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
29.3%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
28%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Sporting San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Sporting San José aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Alajuelense - Sporting San José Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alajuelense will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alajuelense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 24. Salazar A. 13. Gamboa A. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G. 2. Paz D. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 34. Perez C. 5. Borges C. (C) 33. Lucumi J. 9. Zaldivar A. 18. Cisneros R.
23. Moreira L. (G) 13. Soto A. 26. Gonzalez G. (C) 4. Coronado F. 12. Espinoza K. 5. Lawrence I. 7. Diaz L. 10. Lopez A. 19. Mendez J. 9. George M. 36. Gonzalez J.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 27. Alvarado J. 36. Badilla I. 37. Brown M. 1. Mora B. (G) 35. Parkins R. 8. Pilone M. 3. Quesada E. 25. van der Putten S. 11. Vargas K.
17. Alvarez J. (G) 14. Batiz J. 30. Bolanos R. 55. De Buen D. 28. Navarro J. 32. Pineda C. 2. Salinas Y. 21. Urena M. 11. Valverde J. 20. Veron M.
Coaches
Ramirez O.
Carevic A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Gamboa A. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Mendez J. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Mendez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Borges C. ↓, Pilone M. ↑,
46', Paz D. ↓, Parkins R. ↑,
56', George M. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
56', Lopez A. ↓, De Buen D. ↑,
56', Lucumi J. ↓, Vargas K. ↑,
58', Coronado F. 🟨,
63', Diaz L. ↓, Urena M. ↑,
68', De Buen D. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Cisneros R. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Perez C. ↓, Badilla I. ↑,
78', Mendez J. ↓, Pineda C. ↑,
78', Cisneros R. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
78', Gonzalez J. ↓, Salinas Y. ↑,
79', Vargas K. 🟨,
84', Urena M. 🟨,
84', Pilone M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 4.
Alajuelense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sporting San José is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sporting San José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alajuelense is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).