The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting de Gijón B 55.5%
Draw 26.5%
Mosconia 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
26.2%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
24.7%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting de Gijón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Mosconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+3%)
Sporting de Gijón B - Mosconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
Sporting de Gijón B is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mosconia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mosconia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sporting de Gijón B is considered a favorite.
We predict that Sporting de Gijón B will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).