Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Sporting de Gijón B		Luarca

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.5	16.5
	1.13	6.58	12.52
	1.14	6.58	12.52
	1.11	7.2	15.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.3)	6.72 ↑ (4.5)	14.32 ↑ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón B
80.2%

Draw
13.5%

Luarca
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

20.2%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

19.3%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting de Gijón B's performance.

Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón B than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting de Gijón B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+3%)

Sporting de Gijón B - Luarca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 13).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Sporting de Gijón B is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.11.23	Avilés Stadium - Sporting de Gijón B	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Llanera	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Praviano - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Lealtad	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Gijón Industrial - Sporting de Gijón B	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTWW
- Luarca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.11.23	Luarca - Condal	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Colunga - Luarca	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Luarca - Real Titánico	4:1 ✺
29.10.23	Barcia - Luarca	1:3
22.10.23	Luarca - LEntregu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
23.04.23	Luarca - Sporting de Gijón B	0:1
07.01.23	Sporting de Gijón B - Luarca	4:0
20.03.22	Luarca - Sporting de Gijón B	0:0
31.10.21	Sporting de Gijón B - Luarca	5:0

Sporting de Gijón B - Luarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide