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Current Win Probability
Septemvri Sofia 26%
Draw 28.9%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 45.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.8%
29%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
28.4%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
19%
52.4%
Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 31% โ 73.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Georgiev Y. (G) 23. Schouten R. 4. Hristov M. 13. Onasci K. (C) 3. Wade S. 5. Baurenski Y. 6. Ochayi V. 7. Parra M. 10. Serber K. 17. Fontaine N. 9. Fourrier B.
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 2. Cova A. 23. Ruskov M. 5. Pavlov T. 21. Espinoza E. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 99. Lamy J. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 94. Itu C. 9. Perea J.
Substitutes
25. Aruna A. 11. Dzhamov A. 12. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 24. Mattoir F. 26. Ozornwafor V. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B. 27. Varbanov G. 14. Vasilev S.
11. Andreev P. 33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 13. Lucas Ryan 7. Markov I. 44. Nikolaev N. 10. Touma G. 19. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
Coaches
Belchev S.
Kosic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Perea J. 🟨,
25', Cova A. 🟨,
30', Ochayi V. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Umarbaev P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hristov M. ↓, Varbanov G. ↑,
61', Ali E. ↓, Lucas Ryan ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Fourrier B. (Pen),
68', 2 - 1, Fourrier B. ⚽,
70', Ochayi V. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
70', Fontaine N. ↓, Ozornwafor V. ↑,
73', Ivanov I. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
77', Lamy J. 🟨,
81', Pavlov T. 🟨,
82', Baurenski Y. 🟨,
83', Serber K. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
83', Schouten R. ↓, Tomovski B. ↑,
86', Pavlov T. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
86', Lamy J. ↓, Andreev P. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Lucas Ryan ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 2.
Septemvri Sofia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
Bulgaria
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Georgiev Y. (G) 
Schouten R. 
Wade S. 
Ochayi V. 
Parra M. 
Serber K. 
Fontaine N. 
Milosavljevic B. (G) 
Cova A. 
Espinoza E. 
Umarbaev P. (C) 
Itu C. 
Perea J. 
Aruna A. 
Mattoir F. 
Lucas Ryan 
Zovko P. (G) 
Kosic D. 
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