Match Info

Date: 26 October 2021, Tuesday


	Sportivo Ameliano		Sportivo Iteño

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	7.75
	1.32	4.2	8.5
	1.39	3.85	7
	1.29	3.96	7.48
	1.36	4.1	9.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.89)	4.02 ↑ (2.89)	7.97 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Ameliano
66.5%

Draw
22.2%

Sportivo Iteño
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Ameliano's performance.

Sportivo Iteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Iteño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Ameliano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Iteño than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Iteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Iteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 and 14).

Sportivo Ameliano is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sportivo Iteño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Iteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sportivo Ameliano is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Ameliano
Copa Paraguay
20.10.21	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	0:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.10.21	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1 ✺
08.10.21	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Santaní	2:0 ✺
01.10.21	Guaraní de Trinidad - Sportivo Ameliano	0:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
21.09.21	Sportivo Ameliano - Independiente Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTW
- Sportivo Iteño
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.10.21	Sportivo Iteño - 3 de Febrero	0:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
13.10.21	Tacuary - Sportivo Iteño	1:0 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
08.10.21	Fulgencio Yegros - Sportivo Iteño	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	Sportivo Iteño - General Caballero JLM	2:4 ✺
26.09.21	Sportivo Iteño - Deportivo Capiatá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLW

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