Match Info

Primera C - Round 23

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sportivo Barracas		Atlético Claypole

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.85	2.85
	2.48	2.90	2.65	Watch
	2.34	2.78	3.23
	2.41	2.75	3.18
	2.30	2.65	3.15
	2.38	2.89	3.30	Watch
	2.38	2.70	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.7)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	3.05 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Barracas
38%

Draw
32.4%

Atlético Claypole
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

30%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Barracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Atlético Claypole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Claypole might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Barracas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Claypole could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Barracas - Atlético Claypole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Santa Cruz I. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, Ortega L. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Sportivo Barracas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Claypole's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sportivo Barracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Barracas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Claypole - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
28.07.26	Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir	3:2 ✺
17.07.26	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	3:2 ✺
13.07.26	Fénix - Sportivo Barracas	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Yupanqui	2:3 ✺
29.06.26	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLW
- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
04.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	General Lamadrid - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Leones de Rosario	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Atlético Claypole	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
12.04.26	Atlético Claypole - Sportivo Barracas	1:0
29.09.24	Sportivo Barracas - Atlético Claypole	0:5
29.04.24	Atlético Claypole - Sportivo Barracas	0:2
Argentinian Primera D
05.12.20	Sportivo Barracas - Atlético Claypole	0:1
25.11.19	Sportivo Barracas - Atlético Claypole	3:1

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