The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Barracas 43.7%
Draw 31.4%
Deportivo Yupanqui 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
31%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
30.5%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Barracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Barracas's performance.
Deportivo Yupanqui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Yupanqui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Yupanqui than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Yupanqui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sportivo Barracas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Yupanqui will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Di Criscenzo T. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Romay M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 2 - 1, Colangelo S. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, Melono A. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 2 - 3, Melono A. ⚽,
90+2', Colangelo S. 🟥,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Yupanqui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sportivo Barracas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Barracas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Barracas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).