Match Info

Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Oscar C. Boero (San Francisco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Ecuador	DSports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 2
Venezuela	DSports 2


	Sportivo Belgrano		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.82	3.1	Watch
	2.17	2.82	3.51
	2.05	2.98	3.98	Watch
	2.24	2.88	3.29
	2.08	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.02)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
42.2%

Draw
31.1%

Atlético de Rafaela
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

30.1%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Sportivo Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roggero S. (G) 6. Alessandria C. 9. Attis T. 11. Avaro E. 2. Camisassa B. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 5. Gimenez J. 10. Jaime J. 3. Pennesi T. 7. Rossi J. 8. Sagristani M.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 8. Capurro J. 2. Fernandez G. 7. Leineker C. 4. Martinez M. 11. Pastorelli A. 6. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 3. Wuattier E. R.
Substitutes
20. Brylko H. 15. Cortizo P. 13. Culasso L. 17. Franceschi E. 16. Franco D. 18. Hang F. 19. Lehmann A. 12. Martina L. (G) 14. Nallim T.	20. Aquino D. 12. Bergia M. (G) 13. Fuyana J. 15. Jaime D. 17. Marchiori T. 18. Marquez E. 14. Morales L. 16. Ontivero L. 19. Protti I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Soloa F. 🟨,
54', Ponce F. 🟨,
57', Camisassa B. 🟨,
61', Jaime J. ↓, Lehmann A. ↑,
61', Sagristani M. ↓, Franceschi E. ↑,
67', Soloa F. ↓, Jaime D. ↑,
67', Leineker C. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
72', Pennesi T. ↓, Brylko H. ↑,
76', Affranchino F. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
76', Albertengo L. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
85', Pastorelli A. ↓, Marchiori T. ↑,
90+1', Gimenez J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Sportivo Belgrano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Rafaela is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sportivo Belgrano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.10.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0
03.08.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0

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