Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 15Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday
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Sportivo Carapeguá |
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Guaireña |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.37 |
3.10 |
2.60 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.25 |
2.62 |
|
 |
2.36 |
3.38 |
2.64 |
|
 |
2.41 |
3.51 |
2.71 |
 Watch |
 |
2.30 |
3.20 |
2.60 |
|
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2.35 |
3.28 |
2.62 |
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2.35 |
3.25 |
2.60 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.59) |
3.28 ↓
(3.28) |
2.63 ↑
(2.44) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sportivo Carapeguá
38.2% | Draw
27.5% | Guaireña
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Gonzalez E. D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Delvalle F. 🟥,
- 62', 1 - 1, Galeano L. ⚽,
- 66', Machuca A. 🟥,
- 84', 2 - 1, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 8).Carapeguá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Guaireña has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Carapeguá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).Including home match between the teams, Carapeguá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Sp. Carapegua | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 39 |
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| 14 | Guairena | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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