Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 12

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.05	3.05	3.3
	2.2	3.11	3.46	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.12	3.02	3.37
	2.05	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.38)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	3.27 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
42.5%

Draw
29.8%

Rubio Ñu
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.5%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubio Ñu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Sportivo Carapeguá - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Torales J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, Caballero E. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Carapeguá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
01.06.25	Pastoreo - Sportivo Carapeguá	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Santaní	4:0 ✺
21.05.25	Tacuary - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia	2:1 ✺
08.05.25	Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWT
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
02.06.25	Rubio Ñu - Independiente Asuncion	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Sol de América - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
20.05.25	Rubio Ñu - Fernando de la Mora	1:0 ✺
15.05.25	Encarnación - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	Rubio Ñu - 12 de Junio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.08.24	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1
24.08.23	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:0
16.05.23	Sportivo Carapeguá - Rubio Ñu	0:1
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.11.13	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1
18.09.13	Sportivo Carapeguá - Rubio Ñu	1:1
29.06.13	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1
28.04.13	Sportivo Carapeguá - Rubio Ñu	3:2

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